Yes88%
Vol$3.13K
Markets5
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET
Single EventPOLYMARKETTech
Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
Part of: Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon." This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Meta "Watermelon" model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on
YesLeading Yes Probability
88%
|
VolTotal Volume
$3.13K
|
Markets
5
Ends
Jun 30, 2027
in 9 monthsMeta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?
Yes
88%
|
Vol
$3.13K
|
Markets
5
Market Price Graph
5 markets tracked
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(5)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | 88% |
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | 75% |
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | 57% |
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1505 by June 30, 2027? | 28% |
Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | 21% |
Markets (5)
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