Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Montana" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Montana has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the New Jersey Senate election. This market will resolve to "New Jersey" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in New Jersey has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Montana Senate election. If both states have the same margin of victory, this market will