What is the current price for "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 87.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $5K.

BackPPOLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes87%

Vol$4.85K

Markets5

87%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event Group

EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETTech

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Name: Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
Start: 2026-10-12T00:53:26.061Z
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Part of: Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capital

YesLeading Yes Probability

87%

VolTotal Volume

$4.85K

Markets

Ends

Jul 1, 2027

in 9 months

Trade on Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes

87%

Vol

$4.85K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	87%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	81%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	56%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	30%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	11%

Markets (5)

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POLYMARKETTech

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

Market Price Graph

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (5)

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?

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