Yes82%
Vol$6.13K
Markets4
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
Part of: Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or s
YesLeading Yes Probability
82%
|
VolTotal Volume
$6.13K
|
Markets
4
Ends
Jul 1, 2027
in 9 monthsNext Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Yes
82%
|
Vol
$6.13K
|
Markets
4
Market Price Graph
4 markets tracked
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(4)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | 82% |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | 68% |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | 35% |
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? | 15% |
Markets (4)
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