What is the current price for "How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $16K.

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?

Name: How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
Start: 2026-10-12T02:49:04.658Z
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Market	Price
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	99%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	99%
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	96%
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	8%
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	3%

POLYMARKETClimate

Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.

Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.

Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.

Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.

Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.

Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.