What is the current price for "Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 97.7% probability.

How many markets are available for "Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?"?

There are 4 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $42K.

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Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes98%

Vol$41.77K

Markets4

98%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event Group

EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETTech

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Name: Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
Start: 2026-10-12T02:46:09.452Z
End: 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z

Part of: Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Haiku model (4.6+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capital

YesLeading Yes Probability

98%

VolTotal Volume

$41.77K

Markets

Ends

Jul 1, 2027

in 9 months

Trade on Polymarket

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Yes

98%

Vol

$41.77K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(4)

Market	Price
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?	98%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	88%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	61%
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	23%

Markets (4)

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POLYMARKETTech

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

Market Price Graph

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (4)

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?

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