
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official
63%
$37.97M
3
Jun 30, 2026
in 6 months
63%
$37.97M
3
3 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2025? | 63% |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 36% |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 15% |