Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Iowa" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Iowa has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Maine Senate election. This market will resolve to "Maine" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Maine has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Iowa Senate election. If both states have the same margin of victory, this market will resolve 50-50. For the