
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The reso
32%
$524.38K
11
Jun 30, 2026
in 6 months
32%
$524.38K
11
11 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | 32% |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | 26% |
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? | 24% |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? | 16% |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? | 14% |