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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in São Paulo City
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Vol

$394.1

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Markets

2

Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(2)
MarketOutcome price
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?
Yes 73.0%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?
Yes 22.5%

Event Overview

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of São Paulo (São Paulo state). Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of São Paulo, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of São Paulo (São Paulo state). Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of São Paulo, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Saved descriptions match across 2 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (2)

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POLYMARKETPolitics
CLOSING SOON
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of São Paulo (São Paulo state). Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of São Paulo, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome73.0%
Yes
Volume$250
Liquidity$23.5K
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
CLOSING SOON
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of São Paulo (São Paulo state). Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of São Paulo, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count. Votes cast abroad will not count. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome22.5%
Yes
Volume$144.1
Liquidity$1.0K
End DateOct 26, 2026
View Details

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