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France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
|
Vol

$76.99

|
Markets

1

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

polymarket

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All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Market Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (1)

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POLYMARKETWorld
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume$76.99
Liquidity$11.8K
End DateJan 01, 2028
View Details

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