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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?
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Vol

$1.9K

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Markets

6

Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?
Yes 41.5%
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?
Yes 22.0%
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?
Yes 20.0%
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?
Yes 20.0%
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?
Yes 19.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Saved descriptions match across 6 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (6)

Sort
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume$289.44
Liquidity$49
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome22.0%
Yes
Volume$190.38
Liquidity$29
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume$562.45
Liquidity$466
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume$348.08
Liquidity$67
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome19.0%
Yes
Volume$338.12
Liquidity$61
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome14.0%
Yes
Volume$199.27
Liquidity$70
End DateNov 09, 2026
View Details

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