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Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Yes 41.5%

Vol$289.44

SnapshotOct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 41.5%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

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Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Part of: How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 2?

YesYes Price

41.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$289.44

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8?

Yes

41.5¢

Vol

$289.44

Outcomes

Trade

Yes41.5¢

No58.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 41.5%. Snapshot Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 9, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from November 2, 2026, through November 8, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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Resolution Info