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New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?
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Vol

$2.6K

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Markets

3

Market snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by June 30, 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(3)
MarketOutcome price
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by June 30, 2027?
Yes 61.5%
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by March 31, 2027?
Yes 26.0%
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?
Yes 12.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved descriptions match across 3 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (3)

Sort
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by June 30, 2027?

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by June 30, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome61.5%
Yes
Volume$397.44
Liquidity$6.0K
End DateJul 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by March 31, 2027?

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by March 31, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume$469.42
Liquidity$3.3K
End DateApr 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome12.0%
Yes
Volume$1.7K
Liquidity$3.9K
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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