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Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?

Yes 12.0%

Vol$1.7K

SnapshotNov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 12.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?

Part of: New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

YesYes Price

12.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.7K

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?

Yes

12.0¢

Vol

$1.7K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes12.0¢

No88.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 12.0%. Snapshot Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info