
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanon ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts, in
56%
$1.90M
10
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 days
56%
$1.90M
10
10 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026? | 56% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026? | 54% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026? | 50% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? | 50% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026? | 44% |