
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground terri
100%
$19.74M
4
Dec 31, 2026
in 10 months
100%
$19.74M
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | 100% |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | 100% |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | 100% |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | 100% |