US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States forcibly removes Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, from power for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The United States will be considered to have forcibly removed Khamenei from power if Khamenei is detained, captured, surrenders, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran as a direct result of ac