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Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
|
Vol

$100.6K

|
Markets

7

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 72.5%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18.0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 16.0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.5%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.4%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (7)

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POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome72.5%
Yes
Volume$2.1K
Liquidity$219
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome18.0%
Yes
Volume$11.7K
Liquidity$228
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome16.0%
Yes
Volume$1.9K
Liquidity$244
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume$4.1K
Liquidity$588
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome3.4%
Yes
Volume$11.6K
Liquidity$348
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome3.3%
Yes
Volume$3.0K
Liquidity$130
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome0.8%
Yes
Volume$12.4K
Liquidity$818
End DateJan 15, 2027
View Details

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