Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Reported volume

PM $100.6K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Vol

PM $100.6K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is ↑ 7.50% at 72.5%.

Polymarket

↑ 7.50%72.5%
↓ 6.50%18%
↓ 6.25%16%
↓ 6.00%4.5%
↓ 5.90%3.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	72.5%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	18.0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	16.0%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	4.5%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	3.4%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	3.3%
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Poly	0.8%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $100.6K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $100.6K
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3303356; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-7pt50-high-by-december-31-2026-from-august-3
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.1K
Outcome Yes: 72.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 27.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3303358; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-6pt50-low-by-december-31-2026-from-august-3
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.7K
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3303359; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-6pt25-low-by-december-31-2026-from-august-3
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.9K
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-3303360; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-6pt00-low-by-december-31-2026-from-august-3
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $4.1K
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending after market creation and on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or beyond (equal to or above for ↑ HIGH rates, equal to or below for ↓ LOW rates) the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or beyond the listed rate for a qualifying week, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1327148; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-5pt90-low-by-december-31-2026-698
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $11.6K
Outcome Yes: 3.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1327149; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-5pt70-low-by-december-31-2026-427-367
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.4K
Outcome Yes: 0.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Contract: Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1327150; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-30-year-fixed-rate-mortgage-hit-5pt50-low-by-december-31-2026-753
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $3.0K
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Volume$100.60K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

Yes: 72.5¢
No: 27.5¢

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes: 18.0¢
No: 82.0¢

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes: 16.0¢
No: 84.0¢

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes: 4.5¢
No: 95.5¢

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

polymarket

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Yes: 3.4¢
No: 96.7¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiFinance

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

PM $3.47M · K 9.25M contracts

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?

Kalshi: Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $115.01 by Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.6%Rules differK Yes 39.9%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?

Kalshi: Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 31.2%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

Kalshi: Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $125.01 by Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 23.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

PolymarketFinance

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Jan 15, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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