
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494433° N, 37.377320° E in Sofiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change o
14%
$102.36K
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Apr 30, 2026
in 13 days
14%
$102.36K
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1 market tracked
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| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | 14% |