
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the
91%
$235.54K
7
Mar 1, 2026
about 14 hours ago
91%
$235.54K
7
7 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | 91% |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | 8% |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | 1% |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | 1% |
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | 0% |