
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for all months of 2026 will count. As of market creation, the December report is not yet scheduled, however the release schedule can be found here:
33%
$35.58K
8
Jan 10, 2027
in 10 months
33%
$35.58K
8
8 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | 33% |
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | 25% |
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | 18% |
Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | 12% |
Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | 10% |