
This market will resolve according to the number of independent incidents of US-initiated drone, missile, or air strikes on the soil of Somalia that occur between March 1 and March 31, 2026, and are announced by the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) by April 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United Sta
60%
$1.97K
6
Apr 4, 2026
in about 1 month
60%
$1.97K
6
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | 60% |
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | 22% |
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | 22% |
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | 17% |
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | 12% |