
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, an “official ceasefire agreement” requires clear public confirmation from both the United States government and the government of Iran that they have agreed to halt military hostilities against one another. If the agreement is off
75%
$60.33M
6
Feb 28, 2026
29 days ago
75%
$60.33M
6
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | 75% |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 59% |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | 49% |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | 31% |
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | 14% |