
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility,
54%
$3.29K
7
Mar 1, 2026
1 day ago
54%
$3.29K
7
7 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31? | 54% |
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31? | 49% |
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31? | 33% |
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? | 32% |
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31? | 17% |