
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on
44%
$42.77K
2
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
44%
$42.77K
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30? | 44% |
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31? | 7% |