
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact Israeli ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Israel counts. Strikes
97%
$1.74M
13
Mar 31, 2026
in 1 day
97%
$1.74M
13
13 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? | 97% |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026? | 92% |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? | 90% |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | 88% |
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? | 80% |