
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, e
30%
$95.21K
14
Mar 31, 2026
in 1 day
30%
$95.21K
14
14 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 31, 2026? | 30% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026? | 30% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026? | 12% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 23, 2026? | 8% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 28, 2026? | 8% |