
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah,
96%
$62.10K
7
Mar 31, 2026
in 1 day
96%
$62.10K
7
7 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | 96% |
Will 5–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | 1% |
Will 8–10 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | 1% |
Will 20 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | 1% |
Will 11–13 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31? | 0% |