
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon
99%
$3.59M
12
Mar 31, 2026
in 1 day
99%
$3.59M
12
12 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | 99% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026? | 97% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 25, 2026? | 95% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? | 95% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026? | 94% |