
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Israel or the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, a qualifying “military action” is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by a country other than Israel or the United States’ mili
30%
$118.81K
2
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
30%
$118.81K
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | 30% |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | 26% |