
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles
74%
$4.28M
3
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 months
74%
$4.28M
3
3 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | 74% |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? | 67% |
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026? | 51% |