
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facilit
42%
$53.94K
14
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
42%
$53.94K
14
14 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30? | 42% |
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30? | 40% |
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30? | 33% |
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30? | 27% |
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30? | 26% |