
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon
95%
$4.11K
10
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
95%
$4.11K
10
10 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 2, 2026? | 95% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 1, 2026? | 92% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 3, 2026? | 88% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026? | 86% |
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 6, 2026? | 85% |