
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record. Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa.
45%
$1.67K
4
May 10, 2026
in about 1 month
45%
$1.67K
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | 45% |
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | 29% |
Will April 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | 23% |
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | 17% |