
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezboll
20%
$325.67
10
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
20%
$325.67
10
10 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026? | 20% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 2, 2026? | 16% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 9, 2026? | 16% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 8, 2026? | 14% |
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 3, 2026? | 14% |