What is the current price for "How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 55.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $8K.

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

Name: How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
Start: 2026-03-29T13:52:42.279Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Market	Price
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	56%
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	18%
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	12%
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	11%
Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	10%

POLYMARKETPolitics

Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc

Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc

Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc

Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc

Will 6–7 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc

Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forc