
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Gulf State initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil by 11:59 PM the listed date in Arabia Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying "Gulf States" are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by
27%
$2.41K
2
Apr 30, 2026
in about 1 month
27%
$2.41K
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | 27% |
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | 22% |