
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the
7%
$2.54M
10
Apr 30, 2026
in 12 days
7%
$2.54M
10
10 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 7% |
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 5% |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 5% |
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 4% |
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 4% |