
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another
56%
$3.93M
2
Jun 30, 2026
in 4 months
56%
$3.93M
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | 56% |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | 16% |