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Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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EventPOLYMARKET

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
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Vol

$48.4K

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Markets

7

Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?
Yes 39.6%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Yes 21.0%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?
Yes 15.5%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Yes 4.9%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Yes 3.5%

Event Overview

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

Saved descriptions match across 7 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (7)

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POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome39.6%
Yes
Volume$24.1K
Liquidity$1.1K
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome21.0%
Yes
Volume$10.3K
Liquidity$321
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume$3.4K
Liquidity$605
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome4.9%
Yes
Volume$1.9K
Liquidity$382
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$5.3K
Liquidity$651
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome1.8%
Yes
Volume$1.5K
Liquidity$373
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETFinance
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome1.8%
Yes
Volume$1.9K
Liquidity$355
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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