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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Vol

PM $48.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 3.0%+ at 39.7%.

Polymarket

  1. 3.0%+39.7%
  2. 2.8-3.0%21%
  3. 2.6-2.8%20.7%
  4. 2.2-2.4%4.9%
  5. 2.4-2.6%3.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $48.1K

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiFinance
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026

30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026

PM $108.2K · K 45.4K contracts

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate at the end of 2026 be above 7.50%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 52%Rules differK Yes 39.5%

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will any 2026 Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) report a 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage rate below 5.75%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.8%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

PM $87.1K
Will RBC fail by end of 2026?Yes 3.4%
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Yes 2.9%
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026?Yes 2.8%
+16 moreNext deadline May 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 26 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 26 2026?

PM $4.3K
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $405 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 84%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 67%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 50%
+15 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 26 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit Week of October 26 2026?

PM $3.6K
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 86%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 67%
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 56.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will SK hynix (SKHY) hit Week of October 26 2026?

What will SK hynix (SKHY) hit Week of October 26 2026?

PM $3.2K
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $147 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $144 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 51%
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $141 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 50.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 26 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 26 2026?

PM $2.5K
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 51.5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 50.5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of October 26 2026?Yes 50.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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