National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a political group (group politique) is officially formed in the French Senate that represents the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The political declaration forming a qualifying group must be published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France within the specified timeframe. A group will qualify as representing the RN if it satisfies at least one of the fo