
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this
6%
$136.83K
2
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 months
6%
$136.83K
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | 6% |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025? | 5% |