What is the current price for "How low will Lake Mead drop?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 98.2% probability.

How many markets are available for "How low will Lake Mead drop?"?

There are 4 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "How low will Lake Mead drop?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $17K.

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How low will Lake Mead drop?

Yes53%

Vol$16.58K

Markets4

53%

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Event Group

EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETClimate

How low will Lake Mead drop?

Name: How low will Lake Mead drop?
Start: 2026-09-05T23:47:54.739Z
End: 2027-04-15T23:59:00.000Z

Part of: How low will Lake Mead drop?

This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation pub

YesLeading Yes Probability

53%

VolTotal Volume

$16.58K

Markets

Ends

Apr 15, 2027

in 7 months

Trade on Polymarket

How low will Lake Mead drop?

Yes

53%

Vol

$16.58K

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(4)

Market	Price
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?	53%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?	30%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?	10%
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?	2%

Markets (4)

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POLYMARKETClimate

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,028.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." For reference, 1,025 feet is the threshold below which the Lower Colorado River Basin ent

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,033.00 feet but does not fall below 1,028.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." Resolution is determined by the lowest daily eleva

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 falls below 1,038.00 feet but does not fall below 1,033.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." Resolution is determined by the lowest daily eleva

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?

This market resolves "Yes" if the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam, USBR site) between market creation and March 31, 2027 does not fall below 1,038.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No." Resolution is determined by the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Ho