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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
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Vol

$198.9K

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Markets

1

Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes 1.7%

Event Overview

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Resolution Rules

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (1)

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POLYMARKETCrypto
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome1.7%
Yes
Volume$198.9K
Liquidity$6.9K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details

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