
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the r
55%
$1.33M
7
Jun 30, 2026
in 4 months
55%
$1.33M
7
7 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | 55% |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | 19% |
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | 18% |
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | 15% |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | 6% |