Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

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$0.00

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Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

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Polymarket

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3 markets tracked

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SMU scores first TD

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
SMU scores first TD	Kalshi	62%
Virginia scores first TD	Kalshi	33%
No team scores a TD	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

UVA vs SMU (Oct 17) If X scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. All touchdowns count for this market, including offensive, defensive, and special teams. If the first touchdown of the game is recorded in overtime, then the market for that t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** UVA vs SMU (Oct 17)

If X scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. All touchdowns count for this market, including offensive, defensive, and special teams. If the first touchdown of the game is recorded in overtime, then the market for that t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Virginia scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Virginia scores first TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. SMU scores first TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. No team scores a TD
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

SMU scores first TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.0¢No 38.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

SMU scores first TD

If SMU scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally sched

KALSHI

Virginia scores first TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Virginia scores first TD

If Virginia scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally

KALSHI

No team scores a TD

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

No team scores a TD

If neither team scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the team that scores the first touchdown in the Virginia vs SMU college football game origina

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Average Yes Price

32¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-1WKbx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD"></iframe>

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Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

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SMU scores first TD

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Events (1)

Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

Markets (3)

SMU scores first TD

SMU scores first TD

Virginia scores first TD

Virginia scores first TD

No team scores a TD

No team scores a TD

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SMU scores first TD

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Virginia vs SMU: First Team to Score a TD

SMU scores first TD

SMU scores first TD

Virginia scores first TD

Virginia scores first TD

No team scores a TD

No team scores a TD

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