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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

What price will Ethena hit in 2026?

Name: What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
End: 2026-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$223.56K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What price will Ethena hit in 2026?

Vol

$223.56K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $223.56K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $223.56K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	49%
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	22%
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	18%
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$223.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What price will Ethena hit before 2027?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** What price will Ethena hit before 2027?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $129.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.7K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 12.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $9.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $13.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $270
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $39.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ethena reach $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $23.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2026): Vol $40.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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